JobRiskAI

Fallers

SOC 45-4021Farming, Fishing & ForestryData vintage 2026-07
Low exposure AI applicability score 0.075, higher than 23% of the 785 occupations measured · #5 most exposed of 12 in Farming, Fishing & Forestry

The core of this work stays human, for now.

Most of this occupation's activities don't appear in measured AI usage. The paperwork fringe can be accelerated, but the core of the work stays human for now.

Where this occupation sits among all 785 measured. Bands are quintiles of the real distribution. Applicability measures task overlap with observed AI usage. It is not a probability of job loss.

What this job involves

Use axes or chainsaws to fell trees using knowledge of tree characteristics and cutting techniques to control direction of fall and minimize tree damage.

Where AI overlaps this work, activity by activity

The occupation's most important work activities (O*NET weights, normalized to this set), each with its measured AI performance across 200,000 real conversations: how often AI is used for it, how well it completes it, and how much of the activity it covers.

Work activityShare of roleAI performance
Cut trees or other vegetation.38.9%Not observed 0.00
Operate agricultural or forestry equipment.18.7%Not observed 0.00
Evaluate production inputs or outputs.11.2%Not observed 0.00
Determine operational methods or procedures.10.2%High overlap 0.73
Mark materials or objects for identification.5.6%Not observed 0.00
Maintain tools or equipment.5.0%Not observed 0.00
Measure physical characteristics of materials, products, or equipment.5.0%Moderate 0.42
Set up equipment.2.3%High overlap 0.75
Load products, materials, or equipment for transportation or further processing.2.0%Not observed 0.00
Perform agricultural activities.1.2%Not observed 0.00

"Not observed" is a measurement, not missing data: that activity does not meaningfully appear in the usage sample. AI performance = completion × scope × coverage (user-goal view), 0–1.

What drives this score: the biggest AI-overlapped activity in this role is determine operational methods or procedures; the most important activity AI is not observed doing is cut trees or other vegetation. The plan below is built around exactly that split.

Protect the core, automate the fringe.

Next 30 days

  • Automate the fringe. The small text-and-paperwork layer of this job, Determine operational methods or procedures, is worth handing to AI now; it's the least valuable part of your week anyway.
  • Confirm your reality. If your actual role involves far more screen work than the occupation average, the personalization above will say so.

Next 90 days

  • Convert resilience into rate. Work like Cut trees or other vegetation is measured as beyond current AI: supply of it doesn't scale with software. Skill up and price accordingly.
  • Let AI carry your admin. Quotes, scheduling, follow-ups, records: the overhead around the core work is where the tools pay off for you.

The longer game

  • Watch robotics, not chatbots. For low-exposure occupations the relevant automation frontier is usually physical or regulatory, which this dataset deliberately doesn't measure. Track your industry, not AI headlines.
  • Build the customer asset. Reputation and repeat relationships are the moat generative AI cannot cross. Invest there.

Where to put your learning time

Your moat here is the activity cut trees or other vegetation, which the data shows AI is not doing at all. Deepening that is worth more than chasing AI skills you do not need. The one useful exception is the paperwork fringe of the job: enough tool fluency to clear admin quickly and hand the time back to the core work.

Most Coursera courses can be audited free; payment covers graded work and certificates. The partner link earns this site a commission if you subscribe, at no extra cost to you, and it never changes a score, a ranking or a plan here.

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Sources for this page:
  • AI applicability score and per-activity metrics: Tomlinson, Jaffe, Wang, Counts & Suri, Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations, Microsoft Research 2025 (arXiv:2507.07935), data CC BY 4.0.
  • Occupation description and activity structure: O*NET 30.0 Database, USDOL/ETA, CC BY 4.0.
  • Bands, personalization weights and action plans are JobRiskAI editorial layers; method and limitations on the methodology page.